��̼�D(zhu��n)�ͣ��һ��

��r�g��2009-12-14 10:10 ��Դ��Ї��(j��ng)�I�� : ��x��664

��“��׃��”�@��Ԓ�}�Ĵ󠎳��l(f��)��ڸ籾��COP15��֮ǰ��11��,��Ӣ��|Ӣ��W(xu��)Ӣ��о��ĵĔ�(sh��)��(j��)��׌�ڿ��ƽ�,��Gʧ��1000��]��3000��Y�ϡ�

�ڿ͂��S�ֹ��@Щ�ļ�,��˂��@Ӡ�ذl(f��)�F(xi��n),��ȫ��߀��Ŭ��f(xi��)�̸��ҵĜp��؟(z��)�Σ��׃��ؓ(f��)��Ӱ푵ĕr��,��Ӣ��ĿƌW(xu��)�҂��s��^ȥ10������Ƿ�Ӱ푵��׃��(zh��)һ�~,��

12�³��(d��ng)Ӣ��Ȼ��s־��տ�ؐ��L��֮�H,��P�߾�“��T”�¼�ԃ��,��@λ��ؾ��p�ش��“��}��ǳ��ڿƌW(xu��)�҂��ϣ��ǳ��ڌ��(sh��)��(j��)�Ĺ��֮��,��”

��]�з��J(r��n)“��׃��”��ڿƌW(xu��)�҂��f,��Ĵ_��һ��Р��h��顣

“��׃��”��_

��r�g��Ƶ�2007��,��“��׃��”�@��Ԓ�}��ͬ��õ��z�^�ǘ�,��àC�֡�

�@һ��,��(li��n)�χ��g��׃��ί�T��IPCC��ǰ��y(t��ng)��ꠖ��錦��׃��}��о��ͳ�ɫ��A��Zؐ��ƽ��,��@һ�꣬IPCC�ڳ��20��l(f��)��ĵ��ķݚ��׃��u��ٶȴ_�J(r��n)����c��׃��P(gu��n),��

��ո��N�y(t��ng)Ӌ��(sh��)��(j��)�Ĺ��R,����Թ��I(y��)��ԁ��ѽ�(j��ng)��(d��o)�µ��ƽ��ض��0.74�ȡ��@��ƽ��ضȵ��2020�곬�^2�z�϶�,��׃��׃�ò��ɿ��——�@��Ǹ籾��Ŀ�ģ��̼�ŷ�,��Ӿ��׃��׃ů��څ�ݡ�

�ڽ��7�·�,��17��Ҫ��(j��ng)��(j��)�wՓ��G8�Լ��ӡ�Ȱl(f��)չ�Ї��ң��J(r��n)��“2�z�϶�”�ĺϷ��,��“��׃��”��ɞ��_��h�},��

Ȼ��,��|Ӣ��W(xu��)��`��Y�ϑ��Ե��(zh��n)��“��׃��”��@�N��_��,���ǧ��Ļ�Ӿ��a(ch��n)��Ӱ푣�Ŀǰ߀��һ��δ֪��(sh��),��

��ʹ��@�̕��ʷ��(d��ng)��,��򮐳��F(xi��n)��Ҳ��Ǜ]�г��F(xi��n)�^,��ʢ�ƕr��,��ס��L��ė��F��܉��Ϯa(ch��n)��Ĵ��֦��Ҋ��(d��ng)�r�Ї��Ĝ�ů�̶�,��ĩ��,��vʷ�W(xu��)��S��о��ǘӣ��ꖚv11�r��,��ѽ�(j��ng)�ǵ�ˮ�ɱ��¡��,��C��(d��ng)�r��h(yu��n)�h(yu��n)��^��졣��19��o(j��)60��,��ǰ�K(li��n)�ĿƌW(xu��)��Ҳһ��J(r��n)��ȫ��׃��,��

��Ȼ�vʷ�Ϛ��(j��ng)�l(f��)��^��׃��֪��o(j��)70��ԁ��Ě��΄ݲ��һ��̎��(n��i)�Ĳ��,��

�ںܶ��˿��,���ӌ��׃��ֻ��΢��΢��Ӱ푣��f��Ŀ�ĸ籾��Ҳ��ֹ��һ��[�[��I(l��ng)��(d��o)��Ɍ�,��ȫ��׃ů�a(ch��n)��ˌ�(sh��)�|(zh��)Ӱ�,��

“�ɳ��m(x��)��”�Ĺ�ƽ��

��ǣ��籾��f��ărֵ,��M��ܷ�(y��ng)��׃ů��},��Ҋ��Ҋ�ǣ��Ȼ��܉�?q��)�ȫ��?00��Һ͵؅^(q��)��10000��펧��Մ��ǰ,��@�f��܉�Ӱ푵��Һ͵؅^(q��)��,��

�ڷ��֮ǰ��ϸ��{(di��o)��Լ��Ĝp��Ŀ��(bi��o),��Ǟ��˓�ռ��Ƹ��c(di��n),��Щ��Z�p�ŵć��ǰ�@�Ã�(y��u)Խ�У��(sh��)�H��ǽ�“�p��”�{(di��o)��Լ��Ľ�(j��ng)��(j��)�l(f��)չ��,��ڜp�ŵ��^�̮�(d��ng)�Ќ��ҙC(j��)��,��@�ø��ཛ(j��ng)��(j��)��档

“�p��”�ĺ��Դ��},��Ŀǰ��ձ�ʹ�õĻ�ʯ��Դ��K��D(zhu��n)��ɞ��̼,��“�p��”��ζ��p�ٶ��̼�ŷţ�Ҳ��ζ��p�ٌ��ʯ��Դ��ه��Ľ�(j��ng)��(j��)�ĽǶȁ��,��߻�ʯ��Դ��,��Լ��δ�Ҏ(gu��)ģʹ��坍��Դ��ʯ��Դ��δ��ɞ�һ��̙C(j��)�o�޵��I(l��ng)��,��

��m�͵��v�A��ʹ��P�߱�ʾ�^,��׃��h�}��ǵ��h�}��Ҳ��̘I(y��)�C(j��)��,��

��Ҫ��,��坍�ġ��Դ,��ṩһ��ɳ��m(x��)�l(f��)չ�ĭh(hu��n)��,��@�Ǻ��̘I(y��)�C(j��)��в�㣵��顣

��@��}��,��(j��ng)��(j��)�W(xu��)�Ҹ��ڡ��~�s�r�󡷵Č��uՓ��“��҂�?y��u)��ˑ?y��ng)��׃��һ��坍��Դ��(j��ng)��(j��)�w,��S��׃��C��һ��_�֣��҂��õ�ʲô�ӵĽY(ji��)��,��҂��׃�ø��ӏ�(qi��ng)��,��Ӿ��Є�(chu��ng)��R��Դ��}�ϸ��Ӳ��ه��,��”

��̼��(j��ng)��(j��)·��D

��坍��Դ��(d��o)�ĵ�̼��(j��ng)��(j��),��ǿɳ��m(x��)�l(f��)չģʽ��P(gu��n)�I��(n��i)�ݡ��ȫ��ڴ��(d��ng)��,��Ї��ڸ籾��֮ǰ��˳��Z,��

�c��W��,��ձ�,��_˹�Ͱ��ȇ��ĳ��Z��һ�ӵĵط��ڣ��Ї��]��һ��֮�Ĝp�ſ��Z,��Ї��ĳ��Z�漰��Ľ��͆�λGDP��̼�ŷ��,��δ��坍��Դ��ʹ�ñ��Ԕ��(x��)��Ҏ(gu��)��ȷ��,��ǳ��w,��

�c��f�@��һ��(y��ng)��׃��Մ�У��f�@��һ��δ��10��(n��i)�Ї��(j��ng)��(j��)��ֵ�Ҏ(gu��)��,��һ��δ��̼��(j��ng)��(j��)��“·��D”,��и߶ȵĿɲ��ԡ�

��,��Ї��(j��ng)��(j��)��w�ٰl(f��)չ��ˌ��Դ�Ĵ��,��(j��)��Դ�Y�υf(xi��)��EIA��Ӌ,��2010��Ї�ÿ��Ҫ��ʯ��861�fͰ��s��ȫ��ʯ��ĵ�10%,��Ŀǰ�Ї��ʯ��Դ��ʹ��Դ�Ŀ�мsռ70%,��ʯ��Դ��Դ�Y(ji��)��(g��u)��ռ��˸ߵı��,��a(ch��n)��(y��n)�صĭh(hu��n)��,��Ҳ��{��Ї��Դ��ȫ,��

��һ��f,��̼��(j��ng)��(j��)��Դ�_�l(f��)�cͶ�Y��N�h(hu��n)��ֶεĸ��c�h(hu��n)��R��,��׃�҂�Ŀǰ��܉�E,��\�縥��ԣ��̼��(j��ng)��(j��),��H�܌�һ��ҵĭh(hu��n)�,��Ƽ��{��Ј��(j��ng)��(j��)��܉��ʹ�佡��l(f��)չ,��Ҳ�܉��ڸ��Č��ϱ��C��Դ��ȫ,��Пo�ɹ��đ�(zh��n)��x��

�ڄ��Y(ji��)��뽛(j��ng)��(j��)��h��,��ѽ�(j��ng)��F(xi��n)��“�_չ��̼��(j��ng)��(j��)ԇ�c(di��n)”�ȃ�(n��i)��,��oՓ�˂��籾��_(d��)�ɵąf(xi��)�h��ʲô�ӵ��ڴ��Ї��̼��(j��ng)��(j��)��D(zhu��n)��ѽ�(j��ng)�~��˵�һ��,��籾��ĳ��c��,��cʧ��ⲿ�Ƅ��Ї��̼��(j��ng)��(j��)��D(zhu��n)��,��Ї��ĳ��Z,��͸籾��һ�ӣ��ɞ�“��̼��(j��ng)��(j��)·��D”��(d��ng)�И�(bi��o)־�Եă�(n��i)��֮һ,��

����D(zhu��n)�d��ǳ��ڂ��f��Ϣ֮Ŀ��,��Ё�Դ��(bi��o)ע�e�`��ַ��ĺϷ��(qu��n)�棬Ո��߳֙�(qu��n)��C��c��W(w��ng)(li��n)ϵ,��҂��r��,��h��x�x,��